3 Comments
Dec 4, 2023·edited Dec 4, 2023

Excellent per usual. Can I suggest putting the frequency of the data in the upper right margin of the charts? I'm assuming the FRBNY data is from the CCP which is quarterly, but I wouldn't expect everyone to know that.

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Why does the spike then drop in payments suggest people paid off their loans in bulk, rather than suggesting that people have started to pull back on making payments?

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Would be nice to have volumes data to confirm this, but I suspect that those debt payments were waiting until forbearance to be made. Hence a big spike followed by a drop in payments. One could interpret it as the 22% drop is just reverting to “normal” levels post the big payments spike.

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